Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 178.689969 206.924690 239.298510 279.414013 328.131508 385.816478 459.941507
2025-08-17 140.433346 175.858233 220.677239 282.489900 367.043089 480.945174 650.043103
2025-08-24 117.915499 155.638309 206.688053 282.635865 396.004899 564.544605 845.458932
2025-08-31 102.590498 141.011919 195.810294 282.429004 421.354822 645.917902 1060.509307
2025-09-07 92.929240 132.281151 191.037763 289.066655 456.942307 750.476903 1349.125782
2025-09-14 81.455241 119.016465 177.067755 278.011264 459.966079 798.785442 1549.140441
2025-09-21 74.323054 111.359165 170.545647 277.740213 481.138022 885.096860 1860.987487
2025-09-28 68.783997 105.466498 165.930095 279.703278 506.425572 985.935363 2250.320454
2025-10-05 66.503414 104.560092 169.450181 296.847564 565.186055 1175.569588 2962.957189
2025-10-12 64.326333 103.515220 172.482592 313.441652 626.660488 1392.348893 3889.507036
2025-10-19 59.875216 98.001415 166.675986 311.301049 645.932718 1510.802416 4585.159473
2025-10-26 57.168168 95.302977 165.750488 319.072630 690.205550 1712.187257 5732.538417
2025-11-02 53.299421 90.431175 160.718616 318.687124 718.565923 1892.749737 7030.910490
2025-11-09 50.165296 86.660157 157.497349 322.117995 759.034752 2134.317120 8918.981545
2025-11-16 47.069921 82.625919 153.207596 322.276244 790.948183 2365.823129 11103.630873
2025-11-23 44.279684 78.894880 149.066763 322.032185 821.926998 2612.845181 13815.925939
2025-11-30 42.429744 76.838735 148.218639 329.836173 879.984366 3002.029860 18344.708915
2025-12-07 39.170386 71.621413 139.866766 316.841891 868.427444 3095.577843 20774.682478
2025-12-14 37.146924 68.775196 136.487473 316.523544 899.317169 3402.766772 26065.401440
2025-12-21 35.481321 66.526761 134.207183 318.829403 940.463856 3792.171177 33672.291562
2025-12-28 35.062924 66.883642 137.998066 338.993037 1054.291895 4662.767915 52013.201116
2026-01-04 34.571964 67.030965 141.308435 358.552019 1174.923379 5710.335161 81909.371673
2026-01-11 32.896810 64.410829 137.563217 356.026665 1205.104364 6220.449354 105920.278397